Gold

Portfolio 100% Gold

FIRE Projection
None Rebalancing
EUR
Moderate Risk
18.7yr backtest

Performance Summary

Total Return+542.42%
Annualized Return+10.47%
Volatility+16.59%
Sharpe Ratio0.51
Max Drawdown+36.79%

Holdings

Asset Allocation

Asset Class

Precious Metals 100.0%
Holdings Details
Discover a focused investment portfolio with 100% allocation to a physical gold ETF, offering a pure strategic hedge in a single, straightforward asset.
AssetTypeAllocationTER
4GLD.XETRA
Xetra-GoldDE000A0S9GB0
ETF
100.0%0%
Total100.0%0.00%

Performance

Portfolio Value Over Time
Starting with 10,000 investment → now worth €64,241.78
Histogram of Monthly Returns
The portfolio had a positive return during 127 of the 225 months (56%)
Monthly Returns Heatmap
Best month: +17.1% • Worst month: -13.3% • Best year: 2025 (+49.3%) • Worst year: 2013 (-30.6%)
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal
2026+11.7%+5.9%-9.5%-1.6%-0.5%-10.0%-0.5%+8.6%-1.2%---+0.7%
2025+7.7%+1.4%+5.5%+1.0%-0.6%-3.5%+2.9%+2.1%+11.1%+5.6%+5.0%+3.1%+49.3%
2024+1.5%+0.0%+8.7%+4.6%-0.1%+1.2%+2.9%+1.2%+4.3%+6.9%-0.1%-0.6%+34.6%
2023+4.1%-3.0%+5.8%-1.0%+2.6%-5.0%+1.6%+0.2%-2.0%+7.5%-0.8%-0.3%+9.3%
2022+0.7%+5.6%+3.5%+3.3%-5.1%+0.7%+0.1%-1.2%-0.1%-3.0%+2.6%+0.3%+7.1%
2021+0.1%-7.0%+2.1%+1.2%+6.1%-4.4%+3.1%-0.3%-0.9%+1.3%+2.2%+1.2%+4.0%
2020+5.9%+0.8%+1.6%+6.3%+0.0%+1.8%+5.3%-1.4%-1.8%-0.3%-7.7%+2.7%+13.0%
2019+3.4%+0.1%-0.1%-0.7%+1.8%+6.3%+3.4%+8.5%-3.2%+0.7%-2.0%+1.8%+21.2%
2018-0.3%+0.1%-0.4%+1.3%+2.6%-4.0%-2.6%-1.0%-0.8%+4.5%+0.4%+3.5%+3.2%
2017+2.2%+5.4%-1.6%-0.2%-3.0%-3.5%-1.2%+3.1%-2.0%+1.0%-2.4%+0.8%-1.7%
2016+5.6%+10.0%-4.5%+4.2%-3.5%+9.0%+1.5%-2.8%+0.1%-1.1%-4.7%-0.8%+12.4%
2015+16.1%-3.9%+1.9%-4.6%+2.7%-2.7%-5.9%+2.0%-1.2%+3.7%-2.9%-2.8%+0.5%
2014+5.5%+4.3%-2.6%-0.3%-2.1%+5.5%-0.2%+1.8%-2.0%-3.0%+2.0%+2.5%+11.5%
2013-2.7%-1.3%+2.9%-10.5%-3.5%-13.3%+5.6%+7.9%-7.6%-0.8%-5.5%-5.1%-30.6%
2012+9.4%-2.9%-3.1%+0.5%+1.0%-0.5%+4.3%+1.3%+3.6%-3.6%-1.0%-4.4%+3.8%
2011-8.9%+5.6%-1.2%+2.8%+2.9%-3.0%+9.0%+11.9%-4.8%+2.5%+4.9%-6.5%+13.9%
2010+1.8%+5.5%+0.8%+7.9%+11.4%+2.3%-11.2%+8.9%-2.6%+1.6%+9.6%+0.1%+39.7%
2009+17.1%+3.9%-7.8%-3.2%+3.6%-4.3%-0.1%+0.0%+3.4%+2.7%+11.1%-2.5%+23.9%
2008+6.5%+2.5%-8.0%-5.1%+2.1%+2.4%+0.4%-3.1%+10.3%-9.2%+12.8%-4.2%+4.9%
> +2%
0% to +2%
-2% to 0%
< -2%
Drawdown Analysis
Maximum drawdown: +36.79% • The longest drawdown period lasted for 6 years and 11 months and was between October 2012 and August 2019. It reached a trough of -36.8%.
When could this portfolio get you to financial independence?

Gold returned +10.47% a year over the 19 years above. Run those same monthly returns forward through 10,000 simulated paths, with your own savings and target retirement age, to see when they could reach your FIRE number.

Detailed Metrics

Returns
Total Return
+542.42%
Annualized Return
+10.47%
Avg Monthly Return
+0.94%
Risk
Volatility (Annual)
+16.59%
Max Drawdown
+36.79%
Positive Months
56%
Average Drawdown
-12.5%
Risk-Adjusted
Sharpe Ratio
0.51
Risk-free rate: 2.0%
Sortino Ratio
0.51
Downside risk adjusted
Return/Volatility
0.63
Calmar Ratio
0.28
Return/Max Drawdown
Ulcer Index
15.16
Drawdown depth & duration
Martin Ratio
0.01
Return/Ulcer Index
Backtest Configuration
Initial Investment
10,000
Final Value
64,241.78
Backtest Period
2008-01-03 to 2026-09-11
18.7 years
Rebalancing
none
Base Currency
EUR