HomePortfoliosqqq 2x + hedge

qqq 2x + hedge

Optimize FIRE Projection
None Rebalancing
EUR
High Risk
Multi-currency
7.3yr backtest

Performance Summary

Total Return+371.66%
Annualized Return+23.58%
Volatility+30.44%
Sharpe Ratio0.71
Max Drawdown+39.34%

Holdings

Asset Allocation

Asset Class

Commodities 50.0%Equity 50.0%
Holdings Details
Diversified ETF portfolio blending 50% commodities futures and 50% US tech equity for balanced market exposure.
AssetTypeAllocationTER
DBMF.US
iMGP DBi Managed Futures Strategy ETFUS53700T8273
ETF
50.0%0.85%
QLD.US
ProShares Ultra QQQUS74347R2067
ETF
50.0%0.95%
Total100.0%0.90%

Performance

Portfolio Value Over Time
Starting with 10,000 investment → now worth €47,165.6
Histogram of Monthly Returns
The portfolio had a positive return during 57 of the 89 months (64%)
Monthly Returns Heatmap
Best month: +22.3% • Worst month: -15.1% • Best year: 2021 (+51.4%) • Worst year: 2022 (-32.7%)
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal
2026+0.5%-0.7%-6.7%+22.3%+17.6%+0.6%-11.4%+5.6%+0.5%---+26.5%
2025+3.0%-5.0%-15.1%-4.6%+12.2%+5.6%+5.1%+0.4%+8.9%+9.3%-2.9%-2.5%+11.5%
2024+5.0%+7.9%+3.0%-3.9%+5.9%+10.2%-5.1%-2.2%+2.5%-0.7%+10.6%+1.5%+39.1%
2023+6.6%+2.1%+3.5%-1.0%+12.3%+6.7%+3.6%-1.1%-2.4%-3.1%+7.4%+4.5%+45.3%
2022-9.0%-5.5%+9.0%-9.3%-4.8%-6.4%+13.7%-3.2%-6.2%+2.7%-5.2%-11.6%-32.7%
2021+0.8%+1.4%+5.5%+6.0%-2.4%+11.3%+4.0%+5.8%-6.6%+12.9%+4.1%+0.9%+51.4%
2020+5.1%-7.1%-10.1%+15.1%+4.0%+4.4%+4.5%+13.4%-7.7%-3.8%+10.7%+6.6%+36.0%
2019-----5.0%+5.4%+6.0%+1.6%+1.0%+1.3%+5.8%+2.2%+19.3%
> +2%
0% to +2%
-2% to 0%
< -2%
Drawdown Analysis
Maximum drawdown: +39.34% • The longest drawdown period lasted for 2 years and was between January 2022 and January 2024. It reached a trough of -39.3%.
When could this portfolio get you to financial independence?

qqq 2x + hedge returned +23.58% a year over the 7 years above. Run those same monthly returns forward through 10,000 simulated paths, with your own savings and target retirement age, to see when they could reach your FIRE number.

Dividend Income

Summary
This portfolio contains 2 distributing ETFs (100.0% of total allocation)

Total Dividends Received

3,230.16

34 payments

Dividend Yield

1.87%

(annualized)

Avg Per Payment

95.00

per event

All dividends are automatically reinvested at the payment date. The portfolio value shown includes the compounding effect of dividend reinvestment.

Annual Breakdown
Dividend income per calendar year
YearDividends
2026119.35
2025538.83
2024511.93
2023248.48
20221,291.40
202044.74
2019475.45
Total3,230.16

Detailed Metrics

Returns
Total Return
+371.66%
Annualized Return
+23.58%
Avg Monthly Return
+2.00%
Risk
Volatility (Annual)
+30.44%
Max Drawdown
+39.34%
Positive Months
64%
Average Drawdown
-11.4%
Risk-Adjusted
Sharpe Ratio
0.71
Risk-free rate: 2.0%
Sortino Ratio
0.66
Downside risk adjusted
Return/Volatility
0.77
Calmar Ratio
0.60
Return/Max Drawdown
Ulcer Index
14.01
Drawdown depth & duration
Martin Ratio
0.02
Return/Ulcer Index
Backtest Configuration
Initial Investment
10,000
Final Value
47,165.6
Backtest Period
2019-05-08 to 2026-09-04
7.3 years
Rebalancing
none
Base Currency
EUR
qqq 2x + hedge | +23.6% CAGR | ETF Backtest