Quarterly Rebalancing
USD
Moderate Risk
7.3yr backtest

Performance Summary

Total Return+181.97%
Annualized Return+15.20%
Volatility+14.87%
Sharpe Ratio0.89
Max Drawdown+25.87%

Holdings

Asset Allocation

Asset Class

Equity 70.0%Commodities 30.0%
Holdings Details
Diversified ETF portfolio blending 70% S&P 500 equities with 30% managed futures to capture growth while hedging against market volatility.
AssetTypeAllocationTER
SPY.US
State Street® SPDR® S&P 500® ETF TrustUS78462F1030
ETF
70.0%0.0945%
DBMF.US
iMGP DBi Managed Futures Strategy ETFUS53700T8273
ETF
30.0%0.85%
Total100.0%0.32%

Performance

Portfolio Value Over Time
Starting with $10,000 investment → now worth $28,196.56
Histogram of Monthly Returns
The portfolio had a positive return during 60 of the 89 months (67%)
Monthly Returns Heatmap
Best month: +10.3% • Worst month: -8.5% • Best year: 2021 (+23.4%) • Worst year: 2022 (-3.6%)
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal
2026+2.5%+1.8%-4.8%+7.9%+4.2%-1.1%+0.5%+2.3%+0.3%---+13.9%
2025+2.5%-1.6%-4.6%-0.4%+4.3%+4.2%+1.7%+1.8%+4.0%+3.0%+0.7%+0.2%+16.6%
2024+2.1%+4.8%+3.7%-1.3%+3.2%+2.9%-0.0%+0.8%+1.6%-1.7%+4.5%-2.2%+19.6%
2023+3.8%-1.6%+0.3%+1.7%+0.5%+5.3%+2.4%-1.1%-2.2%-1.4%+4.8%+2.2%+15.4%
2022-0.3%-0.9%+4.7%-2.8%-0.2%-4.5%+5.5%-2.2%-5.1%+6.2%+1.3%-4.5%-3.6%
2021-0.5%+3.3%+3.8%+4.6%+1.3%+0.9%+2.2%+1.3%-3.6%+6.4%-1.3%+3.1%+23.4%
2020+0.6%-6.2%-8.5%+10.3%+2.6%+0.5%+5.6%+4.7%-3.8%-1.5%+7.8%+3.5%+14.9%
2019-----2.6%+4.8%+2.1%+1.1%+0.5%+1.6%+2.8%+1.8%+12.5%
> +2%
0% to +2%
-2% to 0%
< -2%
Drawdown Analysis
Maximum drawdown: +25.87% • The longest drawdown period lasted for 1 year and 3 months and was between March 2022 and June 2023. It reached a trough of -11.3%.
When could this portfolio get you to financial independence?

db returned +15.20% a year over the 7 years above. Run those same monthly returns forward through 10,000 simulated paths, with your own savings and target retirement age, to see when they could reach your FIRE number.

Dividend Income

Summary
This portfolio contains 2 distributing ETFs (100.0% of total allocation)

Total Dividends Received

$3,256.68

47 payments

Dividend Yield

2.59%

(annualized)

Avg Per Payment

$69.29

per event

All dividends are automatically reinvested at the payment date. The portfolio value shown includes the compounding effect of dividend reinvestment.

Annual Breakdown
Dividend income per calendar year
YearDividends
2026$215.86
2025$609.69
2024$507.28
2023$308.57
2022$964.53
2021$136.80
2020$174.52
2019$339.43
Total$3,256.68

Detailed Metrics

Returns
Total Return
+181.97%
Annualized Return
+15.20%
Avg Monthly Return
+1.23%
Risk
Volatility (Annual)
+14.87%
Max Drawdown
+25.87%
Positive Months
67%
Average Drawdown
-3.4%
Risk-Adjusted
Sharpe Ratio
0.89
Risk-free rate: 2.0%
Sortino Ratio
0.82
Downside risk adjusted
Return/Volatility
1.02
Calmar Ratio
0.59
Return/Max Drawdown
Ulcer Index
4.51
Drawdown depth & duration
Martin Ratio
0.03
Return/Ulcer Index
Backtest Configuration
Initial Investment
$10,000
Final Value
$28,196.56
Backtest Period
2019-05-08 to 2026-09-04
7.3 years
Rebalancing
quarterly
Base Currency
USD