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conservative base

Optimize FIRE Projection
Annual Rebalancing
EUR
Moderate Risk
5.1yr backtest

Performance Summary

Total Return+40.13%
Annualized Return+6.79%
Volatility+11.32%
Sharpe Ratio0.42
Max Drawdown+10.23%

Holdings

Asset Allocation

Asset Class

Bonds 50.0%Equity 30.0%Precious Metals 20.0%
Holdings Details
Conservative ETF portfolio blending short-term US Treasury bonds, global consumer staples stocks, and physical gold for stability and diversification.
AssetTypeAllocationTER
IS0F.MU
iShares USD Treasury Bond 1-3yr UCITS ETF (Acc)IE00BYXPSP02
ETF
50.0%0.07%
XDWS.XETRA
Xtrackers MSCI World Consumer Staples UCITS ETF 1CIE00BM67HN09
ETF
30.0%0.25%
PPFB.XETRA
iShares Physical Gold ETCIE00B4ND3602
ETF
20.0%0.12%
Total100.0%0.13%

Performance

Portfolio Value Over Time
Starting with 10,000 investment → now worth €14,012.5
Histogram of Monthly Returns
The portfolio had a positive return during 40 of the 63 months (63%)
Monthly Returns Heatmap
Best month: +5.5% • Worst month: -3.8% • Best year: 2024 (+16.2%) • Worst year: 2022 (+1.2%)
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal
2026+2.4%+5.1%-2.9%-1.0%-0.3%+0.2%-0.2%+0.9%-0.2%---+3.9%
2025+2.8%+2.4%-2.4%-1.4%-0.6%-3.6%+2.0%+0.2%+2.1%+2.2%+2.1%-0.4%+5.4%
2024+2.2%+0.0%+2.6%+2.8%-1.4%+1.7%+0.6%+0.7%+1.5%+2.2%+3.2%-0.8%+16.2%
2023+0.0%+0.8%+0.8%-0.1%+1.0%-1.8%+0.4%+0.4%-0.1%+1.6%-1.4%+0.4%+1.9%
2022-1.6%+0.7%+0.8%+5.5%-3.8%+1.5%+2.8%+0.2%+1.1%-1.8%-1.4%-2.4%+1.2%
2021-------0.5%+0.7%+2.1%-1.4%+2.6%+3.3%+6.9%
> +2%
0% to +2%
-2% to 0%
< -2%
Drawdown Analysis
Maximum drawdown: +10.23% • The longest drawdown period lasted for 1 year and 7 months and was between August 2022 and April 2024. It reached a trough of -10.2%.
When could this portfolio get you to financial independence?

conservative base returned +6.79% a year over the 5 years above. Run those same monthly returns forward through 10,000 simulated paths, with your own savings and target retirement age, to see when they could reach your FIRE number.

Detailed Metrics

Returns
Total Return
+40.13%
Annualized Return
+6.79%
Avg Monthly Return
+0.55%
Risk
Volatility (Annual)
+11.32%
Max Drawdown
+10.23%
Positive Months
63%
Average Drawdown
-3.8%
Risk-Adjusted
Sharpe Ratio
0.42
Risk-free rate: 2.0%
Sortino Ratio
0.42
Downside risk adjusted
Return/Volatility
0.60
Calmar Ratio
0.66
Return/Max Drawdown
Ulcer Index
4.36
Drawdown depth & duration
Martin Ratio
0.01
Return/Ulcer Index
Backtest Configuration
Initial Investment
10,000
Final Value
14,012.5
Backtest Period
2021-07-16 to 2026-09-04
5.1 years
Rebalancing
annual
Base Currency
EUR